Analysis

The emergence of ESG considerations as an integral part of a robust corporate strategy

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by Daphne Biliouri-Grant Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) considerations have been gaining momentum over the past couple of years within the business community. This is due to a cultural shift driven by the climate emergency and the pandemic crisis that has increased public pressure and an evolving regulatory framework. Today ESG issues are considered mainstream […]

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Implications of The IPCC 2021 Report for Business, Governance and Security

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Key Takeaways The IPCC 2021 Report will drive far-reaching changes in business, governance and security which will impact client operations across a variety of sectors and regions throughout 2022. We assess that with global climate conference COP26 likely to see little in the way of policy agreements between national governments, the pressure to lead on

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SUB. The Black Sea: Energy, Maritime and Military Tensions Risk Further Confrontations in the Black Sea in 2022

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Key Takeaways  The Black Sea region remains one of the most active arenas for geopolitical confrontation in Europe and Eurasia, with mounting tensions between Russia, Ukraine and the West fuelling the risk of an escalation in 2022 and beyond. The recent Black Sea tour by US Secretary of State Lloyd Austin on the back of

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ITA. 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference 2021 (COP26)

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Executive Summary    COP26 retains a singular importance to environmentalist groups across the planet, with movements such as Extinction Rebellion (XR), Fridays for Future (FFF) and Greenpeace viewing it as a make-or-break opportunity to mitigate the effects of climate change. Given the summit’s importance, mass protests and disruptive activities are planned to take place across

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SUB. Aggressive Military Posturing Increases Risk to Regional Trade

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Key Takeaways An uptick in military activity and political rhetoric has shown Beijing’s increasingly assertive stance on Taiwan this month. President Tsai Ing-wen (Democratic Progressive Party, DPP) of Taiwan is unlikely to seek moves towards formal independence in the remainder of her current term; however, Tsai firmly rejects Beijing’s unification proposal under the “one China,

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CYBER QUARTERLY REVIEW Q3 2021

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High-profile cyber groups re-emerge despite global law enforcement agencies’ continued crackdown Summary of trends: Q3 saw the resurgence of several cyber criminal groups previously thought to have either gone into “retirement” or in hiding due to increased clampdowns by law enforcement agencies. The most notable example is the alleged reactivation of the REvil ransomware cartel’s

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SUB. Afghanistan: Tougher Tests Lie Ahead for Taliban’s Resolve to Govern

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Key Takeaways  The new Afghan interim government comprises male, Pashtun members of the Taliban inner circle; it is not an inclusive administration as was promised by the Taliban. However, the delayed formation of the government and some cabinet appointments underscore the difficulty in securing a consensus across various factions. Factions within the group could drive

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SUB. Gulf-Afghanistan: Taliban Rule Threatens to Further Upset Regional Dynamics

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Key Takeaways    The Taliban takeover of Afghanistan threatens to exacerbate regional divides and upset delicate balances, particularly between Gulf states amongst whom relations remain fragile. Notably, should Qatar adopt a more dominant role as regional power broker, it risks straining recently revived ties with other Gulf states such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia.     The Taliban’s consolidation of power will provide Iran with an opportunity to bolster its geopolitical leverage given Tehran’s relative isolation under severe US sanctions. An emboldened Iran will likely deepen Saudi concerns despite recent

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SUB: AFGHANISTAN – SIBYLLINE CEO: INTERNATIONAL THREAT HINGES ON TALIBAN’S ABILITY TO CONSOLIDATE POWER

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The Taliban’s full takeover of Afghanistan on 15 August will have profound security implications for the country and wider region for years to come. See the end of this report for a special comment from Sibylline CEO, Justin Crump.

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