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Discussing the latest Russian military build-up and the likelihood of war in Ukraine

Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean Last week US and Ukrainian intelligence published warnings over the most recent Russian military build-up along Ukraine’s eastern border, predicting that it may be a precursor to a larger military offensive in early 2022. Increasingly heated rhetoric between Moscow, Ukraine and NATO has ramped up regional tensions in recent …

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Discussing the Terrorist Attack on Remembrance Sunday

Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean On 14 November, Remembrance Sunday, a man detonated an improvised explosive device outside Liverpool Women’s Hospital in the UK, killing himself just before the national two-minute silence. While the motive behind the attack remains uncertain at this stage, the incident was declared a terrorist incident by security services and …

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Implications of The IPCC 2021 Report for Business, Governance and Security

Key Takeaways The IPCC 2021 Report will drive far-reaching changes in business, governance and security which will impact client operations across a variety of sectors and regions throughout 2022. We assess that with global climate conference COP26 likely to see little in the way of policy agreements between national governments, the pressure to lead on …

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Regional stability further undermined by Sudan‘s disrupted transition and deteriorating military conflict in Ethiopia

Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean Recent developments in the horn of Africa have severely threatened longer-term stability in both Ethiopia and Sudan. In Ethiopia, Tigray rebels have made gains notable against government forces, raising concerns about a potential advance on the capital Addis Ababa. While in Sudan, the 25 October coup is flailing, with …

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SUB. The Black Sea: Energy, Maritime and Military Tensions Risk Further Confrontations in the Black Sea in 2022

Key Takeaways  The Black Sea region remains one of the most active arenas for geopolitical confrontation in Europe and Eurasia, with mounting tensions between Russia, Ukraine and the West fuelling the risk of an escalation in 2022 and beyond. The recent Black Sea tour by US Secretary of State Lloyd Austin on the back of …

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Discussing the up-and-coming UN Climate Change Conference (COP26)

Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean The UN’s 26th Climate Change Conference (COP26) is set to take place in Glasgow between 31 October and 12 November. With environmentalist movements like Extinction Rebellion and Greenpeace seeing it as a make-or-break summit, activist protests and direct actions are highly likely to cause significant disruption to businesses not …

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Discussing the Rising Situation in Lebanon

Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean This week join Eloise Scott, our Lead Analyst for the Middle East and Africa and Rhiannon Phillips, our Associate Analyst for the Middle East and North Africa to discuss the rising situation in Lebanon. In the aftermath of last week’s street violence in Beirut, Lebanon is experiencing a worrying …

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China-Taiwan: Persistent Tensions, Possible Flashpoints and Potential Implications

Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean The past few days have seen tensions across the Taiwan Strait rise further as Beijing and Taipei marked their respective national days. China’s air force deployed a record number of warplanes into Taiwan’s air defence identification zone (ADIZ), while Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen again defended the island as a …

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SUB. Aggressive Military Posturing Increases Risk to Regional Trade

Key Takeaways An uptick in military activity and political rhetoric has shown Beijing’s increasingly assertive stance on Taiwan this month. President Tsai Ing-wen (Democratic Progressive Party, DPP) of Taiwan is unlikely to seek moves towards formal independence in the remainder of her current term; however, Tsai firmly rejects Beijing’s unification proposal under the “one China, …

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Discussing the up and coming Elections in Iraq

Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean This week join your host Alexander Parsons, our Senior Analyst along with Valeria Scuto our Middle East and North Africa Analyst and Anastasia Chisholm our Associate Analyst for the Middle East and North Africa to discuss the up and coming elections in Iraq. Iraq’s elections due this Sunday, 10 …

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