Ahead of the 30 September referendum on the Macedonia name dispute deal – known as the Prespes Agreement – we discuss the underlying geopolitical, ethnic, and security aspects of the dispute and draw implications for the long-term operating environment.
Key points include:
- Social and political polarisation in Greece and Macedonia
- Projections relating to government stability in both states
- Assessment of areas at highest risk from civil unrest risks
- Involvement of regional actors, notably Russia and Turkey
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