Gulf

SUB. Afghanistan: Tougher Tests Lie Ahead for Taliban’s Resolve to Govern

Key Takeaways  The new Afghan interim government comprises male, Pashtun members of the Taliban inner circle; it is not an inclusive administration as was promised by the Taliban. However, the delayed formation of the government and some cabinet appointments underscore the difficulty in securing a consensus across various factions. Factions within the group could drive …

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SUB. Gulf-Afghanistan: Taliban Rule Threatens to Further Upset Regional Dynamics

Key Takeaways    The Taliban takeover of Afghanistan threatens to exacerbate regional divides and upset delicate balances, particularly between Gulf states amongst whom relations remain fragile. Notably, should Qatar adopt a more dominant role as regional power broker, it risks straining recently revived ties with other Gulf states such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia.     The Taliban’s consolidation of power will provide Iran with an opportunity to bolster its geopolitical leverage given Tehran’s relative isolation under severe US sanctions. An emboldened Iran will likely deepen Saudi concerns despite recent …

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The Gulf in 2021: Opportunities and Risks

Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean Sibylline’s EMEA Director Jonathan Dunbar is joined by Philip Riding, MEA Lead Analyst and Eloise Scott, Middle East Analyst to discuss the recent developments in the Gulf and how deeper formal ties with Israel and reconciliation in the Qatar blockade provide opportunities for businesses in the region in 2021. …

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