Alert

ALERT: Far-Right Capitalising on Russia-Ukraine Tensions to Spread Hate

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Event As tensions between Russia and Ukraine increase over the potential of a Russian invasion, far-right groups are spreading pro-Russia and anti-Western propaganda. This is most apparent in the US, but is also evident in other NATO countries, like Germany and the UK too. The anti-government rhetoric portrays the increasing tensions as the fault of […]

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ALERT: France – Mandatory Vaccination Policy Sparks Anti-Vaccine Protests Nationwide

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EVENT In a nationwide televised address on 12 July, French President Emmanuel Macron announced a new package of measures intended to combat an emergent fourth wave of the Covid-19 pandemic in France. The new measures include mandatory vaccination for all health sector workers, retirement home staff and some social care workers, and will make the

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ALERT: Haiti – President Jovenel Moïse Killed in Apparent Assassination

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EVENT On 7 July, President Jovenel Moïse was reportedly assassinated by a group of unidentified individuals in a targeted operation at his private residence around 0100 local time. The recently appointed Prime Minister Claude Joseph confirmed the assassination of the president and will now temporarily lead the Council of Ministers. Reports indicate that some of

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ALERT: Belarus – Diversion of Civilian Flight Reflects Mounting Risk of Physical Threats to Foreign Firms

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EVENT On 23 May Belarusian President Alyaksandr Lukashenka ordered a MiG-29 to escort a Ryanair passenger flight to Minsk in order to arrest a wanted domestic critic who was onboard. The Ryanair flight between Athens and Vilnius, which was carrying 172 passengers, was ordered to divert to Minsk over an alleged bomb threat, but no

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ALERT: Europe – Violence and Clashes Possible During Anti-Government May Day Unrest

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EVENT On 1 May activists and anti-government protesters are expected to hold a ‘Kill The Bill’ National Day of Action across the United Kingdom, in protest at the controversial Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Bill. The anticipated demonstrations will fall on May Day, a traditional day for left-wing and anti-government protests, with numerous other demonstrations

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ALERT: Russia – Harsh Crackdowns Likely as Opposition Brings Forward Nationwide Protests

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EVENT On 18 April supporters of imprisoned opposition activist Alexei Navalny called for new nationwide protests to take place on 21 April, bringing forward their plans over concerns over Navalny’s rapidly deteriorating health. SIGNIFICANCE The announcement comes after nationwide protests were held across Russian in January following the return and subsequent arrest of Alexei Navalny

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ALERT: Myanmar – Military power seizure raises unrest risk and rocks investment climate

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EVENT On 1 February, the Tatmadaw (Myanmar’s military) detained State Counsellor and the country’s de facto leader Aung San Suu Kyi along with several other senior members of the ruling National League of Democracy (NLD). A year-long state of emergency has been declared, with the military, headed by Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, having seized

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ALERT: Mozambique – Mass killing seeks to deter government militia recruitment

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EVENT On 9 November, Mozambican security officials confirmed that Islamist insurgent group Ahl al-Sunnah wa alJamaa (ASWJ) executed at least 50 people in the village of Muatide during the past week. SIGNIFICANCE The bodies were found following an ASWJ raid on the Muidumbe region, which began on 31 October, during which ASWJ launched attacks on

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ALERT: France – Heightened terrorism risk to drive likelihood of attacks in the short term

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EVENT French national police are calling for an increase in the security around religious sites in the country ahead of the All Saint’s holiday, which is coming up this weekend. The development highlights an uptick in online threats by extremists against Christians and moderate Muslims and comes against the backdrop of French Interior Minister Gerald

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