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SPECIAL REPORT: ZERO-COVID STRATEGY AT AN INFLECTION POINT FOR DOMESTIC AND GLOBAL ECONOMY

ZERO-COVID STRATEGY AT AN INFLECTION POINT FOR DOMESTIC AND GLOBAL ECONOMY EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Covid-19 pandemic caused a number of socio-economic shocks to China’s economy, resulting in several economic growth target readjustments. While the country was the first to be hit by the virus, it was also the first major economy to gradually lift domestic …

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24 February 2022: Red Storm Rising

Sibylline – 0800 GMT 24 February 2022: Red Storm Rising by General (Retd) Sir James Everard KCB CBE, Sibylline Special Adviser Putin Putin is either living in an altered state of reality, surrounded by yes men, or he is calculating and rational, but with a very different worldview from ourown. He is clearly prepared to use brute force to achieve his objectives and in both cases the question …

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Ukraine-Russia Tensions Drive EU and US Business Concerns

Key Takeaways  As tensions on the Russia-Ukraine border continue to mount, the prospect of a Russian freeze on energy exports to Europe is a growing concern, principally as a potential response by Moscow to European Union (EU) sanctions in the event of a Russian invasion. Whilst such a freeze would have severe effects on several …

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ALERT: Far-Right Capitalising on Russia-Ukraine Tensions to Spread Hate

Event As tensions between Russia and Ukraine increase over the potential of a Russian invasion, far-right groups are spreading pro-Russia and anti-Western propaganda. This is most apparent in the US, but is also evident in other NATO countries, like Germany and the UK too. The anti-government rhetoric portrays the increasing tensions as the fault of …

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SPECIAL REPORT – MENAT

Key Takeaways The Covid-19 pandemic has exacerbated the socio-economic inequities both within and between countries in the Middle East, North Africa, and Turkey (MENAT) An uneven recovery will widen these disparities as countries with high vaccination rates and rapid lifting of movement restrictions will recover at a quicker rate than those who lag. The widening …

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CYBER QUARTERLY REVIEW

Key Takeaways RaaS will continue to grow despite sustained crackdown efforts by global law enforcement Summary of trend: Q4 saw global law enforcement agencies continue their crackdown on cyber criminal groups. In October 2021, the US White House Security Council announced that it shuttered the REvil ransomware group’s infrastructure through a joint takedown operation. This …

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Omicron Variant Threatens Global Pandemic Recovery Timeline

Key Takeaways • The proliferation of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 will compound pre-existing epidemiological trends entering Q1 2022, including severe infection waves in Europe and North America. • Corporate decisionmakers should ensure contingency plans for operational resiliency in these regions remain in place as we anticipate moderate restrictions across countries with high vaccination levels …

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Implications of The IPCC 2021 Report for Business, Governance and Security

Key Takeaways The IPCC 2021 Report will drive far-reaching changes in business, governance and security which will impact client operations across a variety of sectors and regions throughout 2022. We assess that with global climate conference COP26 likely to see little in the way of policy agreements between national governments, the pressure to lead on …

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