Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean Join our host Liana Semchuk, Lead Europe & Eurasia Analyst, along with Louis Cox-Brusseau and Zsofia Wolford our Europe Analysts to discuss the upcoming Bundestag election. Germany faces one of the most uncertain elections in the country’s history due to the fragmentation of votes between mainstream and smaller parties. […]
Discussing the upcoming Bundestag elections Read More »
Key Takeaways The new Afghan interim government comprises male, Pashtun members of the Taliban inner circle; it is not an inclusive administration as was promised by the Taliban. However, the delayed formation of the government and some cabinet appointments underscore the difficulty in securing a consensus across various factions. Factions within the group could drive
SUB. Afghanistan: Tougher Tests Lie Ahead for Taliban’s Resolve to Govern Read More »
Key Takeaways The Taliban takeover of Afghanistan threatens to exacerbate regional divides and upset delicate balances, particularly between Gulf states amongst whom relations remain fragile. Notably, should Qatar adopt a more dominant role as regional power broker, it risks straining recently revived ties with other Gulf states such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia. The Taliban’s consolidation of power will provide Iran with an opportunity to bolster its geopolitical leverage given Tehran’s relative isolation under severe US sanctions. An emboldened Iran will likely deepen Saudi concerns despite recent
SUB. Gulf-Afghanistan: Taliban Rule Threatens to Further Upset Regional Dynamics Read More »
The Taliban’s full takeover of Afghanistan on 15 August will have profound security implications for the country and wider region for years to come. See the end of this report for a special comment from Sibylline CEO, Justin Crump.
SUB: Nigeria – Security Challenges will Dampen Bill’s Impact on Oil Industry Read More »
EVENT In a nationwide televised address on 12 July, French President Emmanuel Macron announced a new package of measures intended to combat an emergent fourth wave of the Covid-19 pandemic in France. The new measures include mandatory vaccination for all health sector workers, retirement home staff and some social care workers, and will make the
ALERT: France – Mandatory Vaccination Policy Sparks Anti-Vaccine Protests Nationwide Read More »
EVENT On 7 July, President Jovenel Moïse was reportedly assassinated by a group of unidentified individuals in a targeted operation at his private residence around 0100 local time. The recently appointed Prime Minister Claude Joseph confirmed the assassination of the president and will now temporarily lead the Council of Ministers. Reports indicate that some of
ALERT: Haiti – President Jovenel Moïse Killed in Apparent Assassination Read More »
https://www.sibylline.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/LinkedIn-Posts-.mp4 This data has been produced by ASTRA. Sibylline’s ASTRA (Aggregated Strategic Threat and Risk Assessment) software quantifies 32 risk factors for 249 countries, select cities, and sub-national regions with over six years of historical scores and trends available. The sharp improvement in policy risk in North America has accompanied the arrival of the Biden
Overview On 13 June, the Knesset voted in a new coalition government, officially ending former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s 12 consecutive years in power. Leader of the ultra-right-wing Yamina party, Naftali Bennett, and leader of the centrist Yesh Atid party, Yair Lapid, successfully formed a government consisting of Arab, left-wing and nationalist parties, representing one
Key Takeaways In April, the Biden administration launched a 100-day plan to upgrade power grid cyber security through a series of voluntary initiatives and the establishment of an incentive-based framework to catalyse public-private partnerships, which aim to mitigate emerging threats and security vulnerabilities. Notably however, several high-profile cyber-attacks have curtailed the Biden administration’s push to
SUB: US Power Grid Protection and Infrastructure Developments Read More »
Listen on iTunes Listen on PodBean The dual crises of the Covid-19 pandemic and collapse of oil prices have driven significant policy changes amongst many major energy exporters across the Middle East and Africa as governments are forced to address deficiencies in existing industrial models and spending habits. In this podcast Phillip Riding, MEA Lead
